A good result for the doubters

I’ve taken a bit of time to write this blog rather than just blurting something out because, to be honest, I wasn’t really sure how I felt after watching Arsenal be beaten 6-3 at Manchester City.
There is obvious frustration because, despite the high score line, Arsenal really could have got a positive result in the game. There were good chances squandered. There were moments in the game that could have gone the Gunners’ way on a different day. There were individual errors that gifted City goals. There were periods of the game where Arsenal look laboured, however if they’d maintained the higher tempo style the whole game, Manchester City would have struggled to contain the visitors to the Etihad.
Much has been made of the Manchester City’s front-line, however for the first time this season, they came up against a team that really attacked their defensive weakness. When Arsenal did get the ball forward and add some pace and invention into their forays forward, they caused the hosts numerous problems.
Although, however many problems you cause the opposition at one end, conceding six won’t win you games. Arsenal’s defence has been the rock on which the good start to the season has been built, so to see it opened up so many times was unexpected. What made the mistakes look worse was that Manchester City were clinical in punishing them.
Hesitancy from Koscielny led to Aguero opening the scoring. Zabaleta was left free to set up City’s second. Ozil’s pass to Flamini was poor, allowing Fernandinho to curl the ball in. Silva was able to ghost in between Mertesacker and Vermaelen for the fourth. Fernandinho was able to walk through too easily late on to score a fifth and Szczesny misjudged Milner’s run into the box to concede the late penalty.
These individual errors just haven’t been happening in recent weeks, so hopefully this game will just be a blip in Arsenal’s season, rather than the start of a decline. Whilst there were too many errors, that didn’t stop Arsenal still attacking and making chances. It wasn’t until Fernandinho made it 5-2 that it seemed like the Gunners were definitely out of the game because they always looked capable of scoring. Within the game, there was a spirited response to conceding goals, before another error always allowed City to get away.
Those mini-responses within the game have to be built up to a large one when Chelsea come to visit the Emirates next Monday. If those errors are cut out, I see no reason why Arsenal can’t beat the Blues.
Some of the lethargic periods in the game from Arsenal could be partially attributed to tiredness after the short turnaround between the trips to Naples and Manchester, but Arsene Wenger was able to make five changes to the starting line-up from that game, meaning it became less of a factor.
Arsene Wenger has to take the positives from the game and use them as a way of making the team believe they can beat one of the big teams. Whilst these matches alone won’t decide the title, they can have a big effect on Arsenal’s confidence and belief that they really can maintain this title challenge.
The major positive was Theo Walcott, who scored two and was the genuine pace outlet that the team have missed since he got injured. His running with the ball still had the look of a man who had just returned from injury, but his goals were well taken, especially the second one. As with most of his play, when Walcott made instinctive runs in behind the Manchester City defence or had a chance around the area, he looked very dangerous. With Giroud having a slightly rough time in front of goal, Walcott’s return to scoring form will be very handy over the Christmas period.
Some of the chances Arsenal created were good ones and some of the passing combinations were much sharper than they were in Naples on Wednesday, and against Everton last weekend. With the addition of Walcott looking to make runs in behind the defence, there is now an extra attacking option for the Arsenal players around the opposition penalty area.
As mentioned earlier, it was the individual errors that cost Arsenal the points in Manchester. However it’s impossible to write something about the game without mentioning the officials. It felt like every key decision, and plenty of minor ones, went against the Gunners. Two goals were harshly adjudged to be offside and there were other attacks forward for Walcott and Monreal that were incorrectly flagged with the Gunners about to create a chance. The referee also had a clear view of a handball in the second half that should have been a penalty. You can’t expect to get anything from a match when you concede six goals, but some correct decisions would have aided Arsenal to do just that. After this game and Arteta’s sending off in Naples, hopefully Arsenal’s luck with officials will turn soon.
Those who have doubted Arsenal and claimed they haven’t faced a big team will be delighted with the 6-3 result. The defeat, and the particularly the score line, will go down as more proof that this Arsenal team are fragile and don’t have the guts to maintain a title challenge. But the league isn’t won in these matches alone. If Manchester City were that good, they wouldn’t still be three points behind Arsenal. The game came at the end of a tough week, so at least the Gunners now have over seven days to get ready for Chelsea.
The defeat will only be a decisive blow in the title race if the Arsenal players allow it to be. They clearly do have more guts this season, just look at Mertesacker’s reaction to Ozil not thanking the fans after the game, so they have the perfect chance to show it next Monday. The doubters will enjoy this for a week, but a win against Chelsea and they’ll have to begrudgingly take Arsenal seriously.

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Seven Teams, Four Places, One Trophy

Author’s Note:  This is my first post on Sam’s Match Reports, and my first ever blog entry about Arsenal.  I hope you all enjoy what I’ve written, and I look forward to writing a few more entries over the next few months.
At the beginning of the season Harry Redknapp, that pinnacle of footballing punditry, went on Match of the Day and said that Tottenham would finish ahead of Arsenal this season.  Of course I seem to remember he said the same thing last season, but after our dismal performance against Aston Villa, and in the absence of any major signings, it was hard to disagree with him, and agreeing with Harry Redknapp made me even more depressed.  After that first weekend of the season it seemed clear how the season was going to pan out: Chelsea would sweep to victory under the keen oversight of the reinstated Mourinho, the two Manchester clubs would bash it out for second and third, and Arsenal would struggle to make even the Europa League with Liverpool and Tottenham both brandishing a number of notable new signings.
Since then, however, things have changed.  After four games what looked like a foregone conclusion now looks far murkier, and the title race is not so much locked up as it is more open than it has been in years.  Given that, I thought I’d take this moment to look at the teams that Arsenal will be competing most closely with, and see how their seasons look in comparison to the Gunners.
Chelsea
As I said above, I assumed Chelsea would walk to victory this season.  Their defeat at Everton, however, means that they’ve had their worst opening to a season in the Abramovich era (although they’ve still taken seven points from twelve, so they’re not exactly doing badly).  Mourinho has brought his patented defend-first policy back to Stamford Bridge, but in his absence the Premier League teams have grown.  Aston Villa gave them a run for their money, United defended just as well as Chelsea, and Everton’s sheer hard work saw them grab a 1-0 victory against the odds.  On top of that Mourinho seems to have taken a bizarre dislike to Chelsea’s two-time player of the year, Juan Mata, and sent his most capable goal-scorer Romelu Lukaku out on loan.  I still think Chelsea have the strongest squad in the league, but Mourinho might find a Premier League title isn’t as easy to achieve as he remembers.
Manchester City
Arguably Manchester City made the most impressive, and certainly the most efficient, transfers of the window, bringing in Navas, Fernandinho, Negredo and Arsenal target Stevan Jovetic early in the summer.  Undeniably they have some real world-class talent in their squad, but as a team they haven’t looked on form since before the end of last season, losing the FA Cup to Wigan in June, losing to Arsenal in a pre-season friendly and, most recently, losing to newly promoted Cardiff.  They also have an injury situation to rival Arsenal’s, with defenders Clichy, Kompany and Richards and play-maker Silva all out of action.  If they get their players back to full fitness and in form then they could be odds-on to take the title, but at the moment new man Pellegrini has his work cut out getting his squad to gel.
Manchester United
I still can’t believe that United didn’t beat us to Mesut Özil in the transfer window.  Last year’s title winners, all they needed was a real creative number ten.  Instead they ended up with Marouane Fellaini (who, as a defensive CM, should arguably have been on Arsenal’s shopping list – maybe Moyes and Wenger just picked up the wrong shopping bags in Deadline-Day-Transfers-R-Us).  I watched United against Liverpool a couple of weeks ago.  Wayne Rooney was injured and Van Persie wasn’t his usual spectacular self, and out of their entire team only Patrice Evra showed any sign of creativity.  Their defence and attack are as good as – or better than – those of any other team in Europe, but their midfielders are solid rather than incisive.  I’ve spoken to more than one United fan who would be pleased with a top four finish this season.  Having said that, United have proved time and time again that you can never rule them out, so that may just be pessimism brought about by the loss of Ferguson.  We shall see.
Tottenham Hotspur
It pains me to say it, but Daniel Levy may be a business genius.  The way he handled the Gareth Bale scenario was inspired, and the players he has brought in are all established internationals, many of them with Champions League experience.  Christian Eriksen in particular impressed against Norwich this weekend, and their squad has a depth to make any Arsenal fan really quite envious.  Only up front are they a bit short, but as their midfield gel I think they won’t have any difficulty putting goals away.  They may have lost the most expensive player in the world but they’ve more than made up for it, and while a title challenge might be optimistic they can more than expect to be fighting for Champions League.
Liverpool
The surprise package this season, after finishing seventh last year Liverpool now sit at the top of the table.  I know we’re only four games in but ten points from twelve, which included a victory over Manchester United, is a not insignificant achievement.  Daniel Sturridge seems to finally have found his niche, Suarez is soon to be back on the football field with his appetite for both goals and human flesh (sorry, couldn’t resist), Coutinho is looking disturbingly talented and Brendan Rodgers has shored up his defence with several established figures, not least the mighty Kolo Toure.  Whether they can keep their form up all season remains to be seen, but they’ve had a better start than anyone would have given them credit for, and that’s worrying in itself.
Everton
Of all the teams on this list I think Everton have the least chance of mounting a title challenge, but they’re more than in the running for Champions League action.  Martinez is a newcomer to the top half of the table but I think he’s an excellent manager, and the sale of Fellaini was more than compensated for by the purchase of Gareth Barry, the loan of Romelu Lukaku and the retention of Leighton Baines.  Goodison Park has become something of a fortress in recent months, and I wouldn’t expect them to lose too many games there over the coming months.  If Martinez doesn’t take the Toffees to at least the Europa League, it’ll be a big disappointment for Everton.
Arsenal
So, where do we stand in all this?  Are we, as the increasingly melting face of Harry Redknapp suggested, at risk of missing out on the Champions League for the first time in 17 years?  Or has the signing of the best assister (is there a better word for that?) in Europe halted our collapse and signalled a Gunners resurgence?  Can Arsenal win the title?
Yes, to all those questions.  The fact is that the strengthening of the teams that finished last season below us, and the difficulties currently being experienced by the teams that finished above us, mean that instead of two teams challenging for the title this year there are actually six (not counting Everton: see above).  Chelsea are still favourites for me, but if at the end of this season the top four contains any combination, in any order, of the teams I’ve listed, then I won’t be too surprised.  A Spurs title where City don’t make the Champions League?  It’s definitely possible.  A United/Arsenal battle for fourth place?  Could be.  A Merseyside resurgence that sees Liverpool take the trophy and Everton claim second place?  It might happen.  All I know is that, with all seven teams listed above looking competitive and only four Champions League spots, someone – more than one someone – is going to lose out.  Could be us.  Could be anyone else.
All in all I think we’re in for the most open and interesting Premier League title race that we’ve seen for a long time, and I would be too surprised if it wasn’t determined by goal difference, injuries and plain dumb luck.
Which means Arsenal are screwed, of course.